The NASCAR Cup Series is at Kansas Speedway for the Buschy McBusch Race 400 Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. Below we analyze the 2021 Buschy McBusch Race 400 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions based on the odds from BetMGM Sportsbook.
2021 Buschy McBusch Race 400: What you need to know
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:58 p.m. ET.
Penske Racing driver Joey Logano is defending champ at Kansas last fall, his third checkered flag at the track.
- Logano is tied with Stewart-Haas Racing’s Kevin Harvick and Joe Gibbs Racing’s Denny Hamlin with three wins to lead all active drivers.
- Harvick leads all active drivers with a 9.3 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 30 career Cup starts, including 10 top-5 runs, 17 top-10 finishes and 949 laps led.
- Penske’s Brad Keselowski is on the pole for Sunday. He has two wins, six top-5 runs, 12 top-10 finishes, 253 laps led and a 11.6 AFP in 22 Cup races, third-best among all drivers with at least three Kansas starts.
- Chevrolet has been to Victory Lane just once in the past eight Kansas Cup races, and twice in the past 11. Toyota has won two of the past three, and four of the past eight, with Ford winning three of the previous six.
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Who is going to win the 2021 Buschy McBusch Race 400?
HAMLIN (+450) is the chalk at Kansas, and he has some impressive numbers over the years. He has the three wins, eight top-5 finishes, nine top-10 runs and 342 laps led in 25 Cup starts with two DNFs and a 14.5 AFP. Hamlin will go off from the 20th spot.
JGR’s KYLE BUSCH (+1200) has been a little overlooked with some longer odds, but he has a win with eight top-5 runs in 26 Cup starts with a 15.7 AFP, which is seventh-best among drivers with at least five Kansas starts. Busch starts from the ninth spot.
JGR’s MARTIN TRUEX JR. (+650) has also been a force at this track, posting a pair of victories with nine top-5 finishes and 12 top-10 runs with a 13.2 AFP across 25 Cup starts and 803 laps led. He swept the 2017 Kansas races. Truex will start from the 15th spot Sunday, and is also a value play for a TOP-5 FINISH AT (-125).
Also, take TRUEX (-155) over Ryan Blaney for Best Finish Position, or in head-to-head betting.
Hendrick’s CHASE ELLIOTT (+900) was the last driver to bring a Chevy to Victory Lane at Kansas, taking checkers in the 2018 fall race. He has four finishes of fifth or better in his 10 career Cup starts with an 11.0 AFP and no DNFs. Elliott starts 17th and is a value at TOP-5 FINISH AT (+120) for plus-money.
I also like ELLIOTT (-125) over Blaney for Best Finish Position.
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2021 GEICO 500 long-shot bets
I don’t love long-shots Cole Custer or Christopher Bell to win this race outright, although Custer (+10000) and Bell (+2500) are worth small-unit plays just for fun. You never know. Custer has finished seventh and 14th in his two Cup starts at Kansas, while Bell has been 10th and 23rd.
Look to CUSTER (+260) and BELL (-150) for TOP-10 FINISHES for a little more certainty.
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