The Baltimore Orioles (3-1) and New York Yankees (2-2) continue their AL East weekday series Tuesday at 6:35 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Dean Kremer is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. Kremer made four starts in 2020 and went 1-1 with a 4.82 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 10.6 K/9 and 5.8 BB/9 in 18 2/3 IP. Two of those starts were against the Yankees (Sept. 6 and 12); both were effective, as he combined for 11 IP with 5 hits and 2 ER allowed while fanning 14.
RHP Gerrit Cole is tabbed for start No. 2 this season for the Yankees. Cole allowed 2 runs over 5 1/3 IP in New York’s season opener. His velocity was sharp, and he whiffed 8 in the outing. Current Baltimore bats have flailed their way to a strikeout-heavy .607 OPS against the 30-year-old ace.
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Orioles at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Orioles +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Yankees -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Orioles +2.5 (-120) | Yankees -2.5 (+100)
- Over/Under: 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Yankees 5, Orioles 3
Money line (ML)
New York got its flagship sluggers going in Monday’s 7-0 win over the O’s. OF Aaron Judge hit a porch job to right and DH Giancarlo Stanton launched a majestic 470-footer to left-center. Add in the fact C Gary Sanchez already has two bombs, and this may not be the right time to be facing the Yankees, especially in their home yard.
Cole held opposing bats to a .602 OPS in Yankee Stadium last season. He posted a 1.83 ERA in three starts against the Birds.
New York is 24-5 over its last 29 games against Baltimore. The price tag here may scare some bettors off or put them in the Orioles camp, but if you can get to a point where you consider New York a .680 club with Cole and Baltimore with Kremer-and-pen a .380 club, there is value to be had on the favorite.
Take the YANKEES (-300).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
For Yankees bettors unable to make that .680/.380 leap, consider NEW YORK -1.5 (-145) on the alternate run line. Cole and the rested top relievers of the Yankees is a solid side to be on.
The ML play is still more of a lean, though, because it has reached a point of no return for some. I would argue that point has been reached without significant justification.
Respect to the bettors on this one. PASS.
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