The Colorado Rockies (19-30) and New York Mets (22-20) meet Wednesday at 7:10 p.m. ET for the third game in their four-game series at Citi Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP German Marquez is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He is 3-4 with a 4.82 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, 9.6 K/9, and 5.2 BB/9 in 52 1/3 IP over 10 starts. Marquez is coming off 7 scoreless innings in his last outing which came on the heels of several in a row that saw the right-hander undone by untenable batting-average-on-balls-in-play and left-on-base rates. Current Mets batters own a .687 OPS against Marquez, and New York owns a paltry .607 OPS since May 5.
RHP Marcus Stroman is the projected starter for the Mets. He is 3-4 with a 2.73 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 7.4 K/9, and 1.9 BB/9 in 52 2/3 IP over 10 starts. Stroman is being tabbed for just his second home start since April 24, and right-handers swing the Rockies into their worst platoon splits (.793 OPS vs. left-handed pitchers, .663 OPS vs. right-handed pitchers).
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Rockies at Mets odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:29 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Rockies +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Mets -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-190) | Mets -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Rockies 4, Mets 2
Money line (ML)
Both starters have surface ERAs that are destined to travel in opposite directions. Stroman has benefited from a .267 batting average on balls in play; Marquez has been hurt by a .331 BABIP. So, figure some Colorado leverage in the ML price.
Add in this appraisal of what has been a shaky Rockies offense: Colorado has had a difficult schedule thus far, particularly with regard to the pitching they’ve faced. Strength of schedule is often overlooked in baseball because of the everyday, things-even-out nature of the sport, but the pitching Colorado has been up against is a potentially significant factor.
BACK THE ROCKIES +115.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on the extra-juicy run line action.
The Rockies and Mets have split two low-scoring games to start the series. Since a high-scoring game on May 15, New York has played in one game which has had a total land north of 9 runs. Colorado has almost the same trend in place: the Rockies have played in one such game since May 16. Those totals have Wednesday’s number looking like a tag for a 7-inning half of a twin bill.
New York’s Wednesday forecast calls for humid, wind-out-to-center conditions, but both starters get a lot of ground balls and both offenses are mired in so much mediocrity.
BACK THE UNDER 6.5 (+100), but consider waiting out a jump to 7 runs to gain a bit of insurance.
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