The Colorado Rockies (3-4) and San Francisco Giants (3-3) kick off a three-game series Friday at 4:35 p.m. ET at Oracle Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rockies vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Austin Gomber is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies. He surrendered three runs (one earned) in three innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Coors Field Sunday, while walking seven. Gomber went 1-1 with a 1.86 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 and 4.7 BB/9 across 29 IP in 14 games (10 starts) last year with the St. Louis Cardinals. His skills didn’t come close to supporting the results, as a .243 BABIP and 4% HR/F were the primary drivers behind his success.
RHP Johnny Cueto is the Giants’ projected starter. In his first outing of the season, he lasted 5 2/3 innings against the Seattle Mariners, allowing three earned runs while racking up seven strikeouts. Cueto is coming off a 2020 season in which he went 2-3 with a 5.40 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 and 3.7 BB/9 in 63 1/3 IP over 12 starts. He has made 45 career starts in Oracle Park (formerly AT&T Park), where he has posted a 16-12 record with a 3.92 ERA and 7.2 K/9.
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Rockies at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction
- Money line: Rockies +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Giants -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rockies +1.5 (-140) | Giants -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Giants 6, Rockies 4
Money line (ML)
Despite the sub-2.00 ERA Gomber recorded in 2020, his career 4.5 BB/9 makes him pretty difficult to trust. The Giants, who were third in wRC+ vs. lefties in 2020, should have a slight edge on starting pitching, and will be playing at home. Cueto isn’t the pitcher he used to be, so don’t go all in, but SAN FRANCISCO (-160) is the play in this game.
The Giants are averaging just 3.33 runs per game to this point, with two of their three wins coming by a single run. Playing at home slightly lessens the chance of winning by multiple runs, so while the Giants should come out on top, this looks like a line to PASS on.
The Under has hit in the Giants’ last four games, and in four of the last five for the Rockies. But even in a pitchers’ park, neither of these starting pitchers are likely to shut down the opposition, and Gomber’s control issues leave him prone to a big inning. Side with the OVER 8.5 (-110).
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