Missouri

Half Point Calculator – Betting Tools


The offshore market (which you believe to be accurately reflecting the true underlying probabilities without bias) is offering the following NFL market:
Offshore Market
Tampa Bay
+2½
-110

OVER 39½
+103
Carolina
-2½
+102

UNDER 39½
-113
While at the same time your local is offering: Local Market
Tampa Bay
+2½
-110

OVER 39½
-110
Carolina
-2½
-110

UNDER 39½
-110
Your local allows you to buy up to 3 spread or total half-points for 10¢ except on and off the 3-point on spreads where he charges 20¢.
What would represent your most profitable spread and your most profitable total that you can bet with your local?
Let’s examine the spread. First, we need to set up on the top section of the calculator the ‘true’ market as reflected by the offfshore market.
set the League to ‘NFL’
set the Bet Type to ‘Spread’
set the Odds Type to ‘US’
enter 2.5 in the Spread box
enter +102 in the Fave Price box (the favorite, Carolina -2½ is being offered at +102)
enter -110 in the Dog Price box (the underdog, Tampa Bay +2½ is being offered at -110)
click calculate
Next, we enter on the bottom half of the calculator the different bets being offered by your local.
Favorite (Carolina -2½):for a spread of 2.5, enter -110 in the fave price box (you can bet the favorite, Carolina -2½ at -110 with your local)
for a spread of 2, enter -120 in the fave price box (you can bet Carolina -2½ at -110 with your local and can buy an additional half-point for 10¢)
for a spread of 1.5, enter -130 in the fave price box (you can bet Carolina -2 at -120 with your local and can buy an additional half-point-for 10¢)
for a spread of 1, enter -140 in the fave price box (you can bet Carolina -1½ at -110 with your local and can buy an additional half-point for 10¢)
Underdog (Tampa Bay +2½):for a spread of 2.5, enter -110 in the dog price box (you can bet the underdog, Tampa Bay +2½ at -110 with your local)
for a spread of 3, enter -130 in the dog price box (you can bet Tampa Bay +2½ at -110 with your local and can buy an additional half-point on to the 3 for 20¢)
for a spread of 3.5, enter -150 in the dog price box (you can bet Tampa Bay +3 at -130 with your local and can buy an additional half-point off of the 3 for 20¢)
for a spread of 4, enter -160 in the dog price box (you can bet Tampa Bay +3½ at -150 with your local and can buy an additional half-point for 10¢)
Finally, we look in the fave edge and dog edge columns for the relevant expectations:

Carolina -2½
-7.240%
Carolina -2
-9.124%
Carolina -1½
-10.536%
Carolina -1
-11.092%
Tampa Bay +2½
-1.851%
Tampa Bay +3
0.832%
Tampa Bay +3½
2.006%
Tampa Bay +4
2.525%
This tells us that at approximate edges of 2.006% and 2.525% respectively, the Tampa Bay +3½ and +4 bets are the best. The worst bets are the Carolina -1½ and -1 bets at -10.536% and -11.092%, respectively.
Now let’s examine the total. First, we need to set up on the top section of the calculator the ‘true’ market as reflected by the offshore market.
set the League to ‘NFL’
set the Bet Type to ‘Total’
set the Odds Type to ‘US’
enter 39.5 in the Total box
enter +103 in the Over Price box (the OVER 39½ is being offered at +103)
enter -113 in the Under Price box (the UNDER 39½ is being offered at -113)
click calculate
Next, we enter on the bottom half of the calculator the different bets being offered by your local.
OVER 39½:for a total of 39.5, enter -110 in the over price box (you can bet the over 39frac12; at -110 with your local)
for a total of 39, enter -120 in the over price box (you can bet the over 39frac12; at -110 with your local and can buy an additional half-point for 10¢)
for a total of 38.5, enter -130 in the over price box (you can bet the over 40 at -110 with your local and can buy an additional half-point for 10¢)
for a total of 38, enter -140 in the over price box (you can bet the over 40frac12; at -110 with your local and can buy an additional half-point for 10¢)
UNDER 39½:for a total of 39.5, enter -110 in the under price box (you can bet the under 39½ at -110 with your local)
for a total of 40, enter -120 in the under price box (you can bet the under 39½ at -110 with your local and can buy an additional half-point 10¢)
for a total of 40.5, enter -130 in the under price box (you can bet the under 40 at -110 with your local and can buy an additional half-point for 10¢)
for a total of 41, enter -140 in the under price box (you can bet the under 40½ at -110 with your local and can buy an additional half-point for 10¢)
Finally, we look in the over edge and under edge columns for the relevant expectations:

OVER 39½
-8.082%
OVER 39
-10.377%
OVER 38½
-12.146%
OVER 38
-12.734%
UNDER 39½
-1.009%
UNDER 40
-2.250%
UNDER 40½
-3.398%
UNDER 41
-2.412%
Unlike with the spread, none of these totals imply a positive expectation. If, however, you still wanted to bet on this total, your “least bad” option would be the under 39½. This is indicative of the fact that it is not generally profitable to buy half-points on NFL totals for 10¢ or more.

Read More

Sportsbook
Welcome to SportsBook-Live.com. Please register to our site, As more States become Available for Online Gambling, We will automatically upgrade your status from Subscriber to Player. Please note we are not affilliated in any way with ESPN, CBS Sports, Home depot or CitiBank GameDay Programs. https://sportsbook-live.com
https://sportsbook-live.com