We get a 12-round IBF junior bantamweight title bout Saturday when Jerwin Ancajas and Jonathan Javier Rodriguez meet at Mohegan Sun Casino and Resort in Uncasville, Conn. The card is set to begin around 7 p.m. ET, with the Ancajas-Rodriguez fight set for later in the show. Below, we break down the Ancajas vs. Rodriguez odds, with boxing picks and predictions. The fight card is televised on Showtime.
Ancajas vs. Rodriguez: Fight odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.
Jerwin Ancajas -800 (bet $800 to win $100) | Jonathan Javier Rodriguez +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Draw +2000
Ancajas has an implied win probability of 88.89% with the -800 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 1/8 or a decimal of 1.125.
Ancajas vs. Rodriguez: Tale of the tape
Ancajas (32-1-2, 22 KOs) hasn’t been dropped since a majority-decision loss March 17, 2012, against Mark Anthony Geraldo at the Hoops Dome in Lapu-Lapu city in his native Philippines. The southpaw, a.k.a. “Pretty Boy”, is coming off a TKO over Miguel Gonzalez at Auditorio GNP Seguros in Puebla, Mexico, his second straight win since a draw against Alejandro Santiago Barrios Sept. 28, 2018.
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Jonathan Javier Rodriguez
Rodriguez (22-1, 16 KOs) enters on a six-bout win streak, including a knockout of Julian Yedras last time out Dec. 4, in Monterrey, Mexico. He has finished inside the distance in five of the past six bouts since a split-decision loss against Jose Martin Estrada Garcia March 1, 2018.
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Ancajas vs. Rodriguez: Odds, predictions and picks
Ancajas (-800) is expensive on the 2-way and 3-way lines, and you cannot risk eight times your potential return.
Instead, look to the method of victory and take ANCAJAS BY KO/TKO/TECHNICAL DECISION OR DQ (-175) for a much better value. In addition, you’ll want to block out a four rounds in individual round betting for a great value. ANCAJAS IN ROUND 5 (+1000), ANCAJAS IN ROUND 6 (+900), ANCAJAS IN ROUND 7 (+900) and ANCAJAS IN ROUND 8 (+1000) for victory. If he wins between Rounds 5 through 8, you’ll lose three rounds, but you’ll still be well ahead.
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