The Kansas City Royals (16-17) visit Motor City Tuesday for a three-game set with the Detroit Tigers (10-24) at Comerica Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Tigers with MLB picks and predictions.
Kansas City is in the midst of an eight-game losing skid, which includes back-to-back sweeps by the Chicago White Sox and the Cleveland Indians.
Detroit has been off the past two days after the rubber match of the three-game set with the Minnesota Twins was rained out Sunday. The Tigers are just 2-8 in their last 10 games.
Season series: Royals lead 4-0.
RHP Brady Singer is on the rubber for the Royals. Singer is 1-3 with a 3.41 ERA (29 IP, 11 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 across 6 starts.
- Last outing: No-decision in 5 2/3 IP with 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 3 K Wednesday vs. the Indians.
- Career vs. the Tigers: 3-0 with a 1.44 ERA (25 IP, 4 ER), 0.64 WHIP and 8.6 K/9 over 4 starts.
- Vs. Tigers on the current roster: 64 at-bats with a .172/.185/.313 slash line, 20/1 K/BB rate, 3 HR and 3 RBIs.
LHP Matthew Boyd is the projected starter for the Tigers. Boyd is 2-3 with a 2.27 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 0.93 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 across 6 starts.
- Last outing: Loss, 11-0, in 1 IP with 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 2 K at the White Sox April 29.
- Career vs. the Royals: 7-10 with a 5.71 ERA (116 2/3 IP, 74 ER), 1.46 WHIP and 7.0 K/9 over 23 starts.
- Vs. Royals on the current roster: 247 at-bats with a .296/.340/.506 slash line, 47/15 K/BB rate, 9 HR and 33 RBIs.
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Royals at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:48 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Royals -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Tigers +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Against the spread/ATS: Royals -1.5 (+115) | Tigers +1.5 (-140)
- Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Royals 4, Tigers 1
Money line (ML)
“LEAN” to the ROYALS (-145) for a half unit because Singer has much better career numbers vs. the Tigers than Boyd vs. the Royals.
These starters faced each other back on April 24 and Singer was considerably sharper than Boyd even though Kansas City only won 2-1.
Singer had a 1.82 xFIP, 2.50 ground ball to fly ball rate and a 70.8% contact rate vs. the Tigers, while Boyd had a 5.20 xFIP, 0.54 ground ball to fly ball rate and an 83.3% contact rate vs. the Royals a few weeks ago.
Both teams have played equally as bad, so I don’t know how much this Royals-Tigers meeting differs from the previous with the same starting pitchers.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS because the payout of the Royals -1.5 (+115) isn’t juicy enough considering how poorly Kansas City has looked over its last 10 games.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 8 (-115) for 1 unit because both starters have looked impressive out the gate and each lineup has been awful.
Kansas City is 22nd in BB/K and 26th in both wRC+ and wOBA vs. left-handed pitching whereas Detroit is dead-last in BB/K, 24th in wOBA and 22nd in wRC+ against righties.
Furthermore, Detroit has the third-highest Under rate and Kansas City the lowest in division games since the beginning of last season.
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