DataSkrive, Sportsbook Wire Published 6:59 p.m. ET March 19, 2021 | Updated 10:03 a.m. ET March 20, 2021
The No. 9 seed in the West Region bracket, the Missouri Tigers (16-9), and the No. 8 seed Oklahoma Sooners (15-10) play in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament on Saturday at Lucas Oil Stadium, tipping off at 7:25 PM ET. Missouri is a 1-point favorite in the contest, which airs on TNT.
In their last game, the Tigers were defeated by Arkansas by a final score of 70-64 and failed to cover the 5-point spread as underdogs. The teams went under the 149 point total set by oddsmakers. Xavier Pinson racked up a team-high 14 points in the loss on Friday.
Last time out, Brady Manek scored 19 points as the Sooners fell short in a 69-62 loss to Kansas on Thursday. The teams combined to score 131 points to hit the under on the 135.5 point total by bookmakers, while the Sooners were 2.5-point underdogs and failed to cover the spread.
Rankings courtesy of Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Missouri at Oklahoma: Betting odds, spread and lines
Lines last updated at 9:25 AM ET on March 20, 2021.
- Money line: Missouri -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Oklahoma -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Missouri -1 (-110) | Oklahoma +1 (-110)
- Over/Under: 139.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Missouri: Three things to know
- Dru Smith leads the Tigers in points and assists. He puts up 14.1 points per game while tacking on 3.9 assists. Pinson averages 1.7 made threes per game to pace the team.
- The 73.6 points the Tigers score per game are only 4.4 more points than the Sooners give up (69.2).
- When Missouri scores more than 69.2 points, it is 12-4 overall and 10-0 against the spread.
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Oklahoma: Three things to know
- Austin Reaves leads the Sooners in scoring (17.7 points per game), rebounding (5.7 per game) and assisting (4.7 per game). Umoja Gibson paces the squad with a team-high 2.2 made three-pointers per game.
- The Sooners put up an average of 74.8 points per game, just 2.9 more points than the 71.9 the Tigers allow to opponents.
- Oklahoma has put together an 8-0 ATS record and a 13-3 overall record in games where it scores more than 71.9 points.
Missouri at Oklahoma: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Oklahoma 73, Missouri 72
The model prefers the Sooners to win, in opposition to the BetMGM money line favorite.
Against the spread (ATS)
While MGM has the Tigers winning by one, the model has the Sooners taking home the victory, though the margin is fairly small (2.4 points). Lean toward taking the Sooners.
The model projects a total 5.3 points higher than the one set by MGM for this game.
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