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New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and prediction


The New York Mets (18-16) and Atlanta Braves (19-21) open a three-game series Monday at Truist Park. First pitch for the season’s first meeting between the NL East rivals is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (on ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

2020 season series: Braves won 7-3

The Mets enter on a three-game slide. They lost 7-1 at the Tampa Bay Rays Sunday, getting swept in the first series of a nine-game road trip. The Braves dropped a 10-9 decision at the Milwaukee Brewers Sunday, but took two of three over the weekend.

RHP Taijuan Walker is the Mets’ projected starter. He is 3-1 with a 2.20 ERA (41 IP, 10 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 and 4.0 BB/9 in 7 starts this season.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 4 K in the Mets’ 7-1 home victory over the Baltimore Orioles Wednesday.
  • Career vs. Braves: 0-0, 2.25 ERA (12 IP, 3 ER), 8 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 2 starts with the Arizona Diamondbacks in 2017.

LHP Max Fried is penciled in to start for the Braves. The five-year veteran is 1-1 with a 6.55 ERA (22 IP, 16 ER), 1.73 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 and 3.7 BB/9 in 5 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 4 K in the Braves’ 4-1 home loss to the Toronto Blue Jays Wednesday.
  • Career vs. Mets: 3-1, 2.88 ERA (50 IP, 16 ER), 1.34 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 8 starts and 5 relief appearances.

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Mets at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Braves -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets +1.5 (-160) | Braves -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Braves 3, Mets 2

Money line (ML)

ATLANTA (-150) is the way to go. The Mets average just 3.50 runs per game to rank 28th in the majors, and they’re second-to-last with 27 home runs (just one more than the Pittsburgh Pirates).

Meanwhile, Atlanta leads the majors with 59 homers, but Walker has surrendered just 1 HR this season.

I actually like Walker over Fried in this battle, but the Mets could be without RF Michael Conforto and 2B Jeff McNeil. They both suffered hamstring injuries in Sunday’s loss.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. Neither ballclub can be counted on to cash a winning ticket here. They’re both awful against the spread.

ATS records: Mets 14-20 | Braves 15-25

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 8 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. First, the Mets’ offensive woes have already been mentioned.

Second, if both starting pitchers perform near to how they did in their respective last starts, runs will be hard to come by.

O/U records: Mets 14-17-2 | Braves 22-17-1

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 39-44-2 10-15-1 -10.395
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 (all sports) 142-129-3 59-56-1 +3.155
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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