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New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and prediction

The New York Mets (0-1) and Philadelphia Phillies (4-0) continue their three-game series Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park with a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch (on ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Phillies took Monday’s opener 5-3 to remain undefeated. It was the Mets’ first game of the season since their opening series was postponed because of Washington Nationals COVID-19 issues.

New York RHP Jacob deGrom tossed six scoreless innings, but the bullpen blew a 2-0 lead as Philly scored all five of its runs in the eighth. Philadelphia tied the game 2-all on C J.T. Realmuto’s RBI single and took the lead for good when New York 3B Luis Guillorme, a defensive replacement, made a two-run throwing error.

RHP Marcus Stroman is expected to start for the Mets Tuesday. It will be his first appearance in two seasons as he opted to sit out in 2020 due to COVID-19 concerns. In 2019, he went 10-13 with a 3.22 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 in 184 1/3 IP in 32 starts with the Mets and Toronto Blue Jays.

  • 2019 for Mets: 4-2, 3.77 ERA (59 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.48 WHIP, 9.1 K/9, 3.5 BB/9 in 11 starts
  • Career vs. Phillies: 2-1, 3.66 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 8 ER) in 5 games, including 3 starts

RHP Chase Anderson is scheduled to make his Phillies debut. Last season with the Blue Jays, he was 1-2 with a 7.22 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 in 10 games (7 starts).

  • 2020 vs. Mets: 0-1, 13.50 ERA (2 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 4 K, 3 BB in 1 start
  • Career vs. Mets: 2-3, 4.58 ERA (39 1/3 IP, 20 ER) in 8 starts

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Mets at Phillies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Phillies +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets -1.5 (+120) | Phillies +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Phillies 5, Mets 3

Money line (ML)

Back the PHILLIES (+110) with a HALF-UNIT play. They’re 4-0. Let’s keep riding the Philly train until it stops.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Bet PHILADELPHIA +1.5 (-145) to win a QUARTER UNIT. If your usual 1-unit play is $100, the play here would be a $36.25 wager to profit $25 if the Phillies win outright or don’t lose by 2 or more runs.

ATS records: Mets 0-1 | Phillies 3-1

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 9 (-110) is worth a HALF-UNIT wager. The Phillies opened the season with 3 consecutive Unders. Monday’s game went Over in the Mets’ last at-bat.

If the line drops below 9, the play becomes a PASS.

O/U records: Mets 1-0 | Phillies 1-3

Note: There is no STRONGEST PLAY on this card.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

JOHNNY PARLAY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2021 MLB 3-6 1-2 -4.25
2020 MLB 80-59-1 39-21 +24.79
2021 record (all sports) 105-91-1 50-43 +8.8
*–SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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