Colorado

San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and prediction


The San Diego Padres (32-18) and the Milwaukee Brewers (24-25) close out their four-game series at American Family Field Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

San Diego pulled out a 2-1 extra-inning victory Wednesday for its second win of the series. C Victor Caratini‘s RBI single scored RF Wil Myers in the top of the 10th.

Season series: Brewers lead 4-2.

LHP Ryan Weathers makes his sixth start of the season for the Padres. He is 2-1 with a 1.48 ERA (30 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 0.92 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 over five starts and five relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision in 4 IP with 1 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 2 K in San Diego’s 6-4 victory over the Seattle Mariners Saturday.
  • Career vs. Brewers: No appearances.

RHP Adrian Houser is the projected starter for the Brewers. He is 3-5 with a 4.53 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 across nine starts.

  • Last outing: Loss in 4 IP with 6 ER, 5 H, 4 BB and 4 K at the Cincinnati Reds Friday.
  • Career vs. Padres: 0-1 with a 2.77 ERA (13 IP, 4 ER), 0.85 WHIP and 7.6 K/9 in two starts and one relief outing.
    • vs. Padres on the current roster: 39 at-bats with a .179/.238/.469 slash line, 10/3 K/BB, 0 HR and 3 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Padres at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Padres -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Brewers +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Padres -1.5 (+135) | Brewers +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Padres 6, Brewers 3

Money line (ML)

GIMME the PADRES (-125) for 1 unit because they are a far better hitting team and have a significant edge in pitching as well.

San Diego’s lineup got off to a slow start but over the past two weeks, Padres batters are sixth in WAR and wOBA, and fifth in wRC+.

A major reason why they’re starting to find their groove at the plate is that they’re drawing more walks (second in BB/K rate over the last 14 days). It’s an area of concern for Houser, who grades in the 28th percentile of BB%.

Also, Weathers has been very tough on left-handed hitters. Three of Milwaukee’s best bats are lefties who’ve struggled vs. left-handed pitching in 2B Kolten Wong, OF Christian Yelich and 3B Travis Shaw.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Padres -1.5 (+135). I’d prefer to stick with San Diego’s money line since Houser has pitched well against the Padres.

Furthermore, the Brewers have good arms in the bullpen and their numbers should progress toward the mean in the coming weeks.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Over 8 (-110) because these teams have a combined 10-4 O/U record when these starters take the mound but the Under cashed in eight of the last 10 Padres-Brewers meetings, dating back to 2019.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

 <p>

Read More

Sportsbook
Welcome to SportsBook-Live.com. Please register to our site, As more States become Available for Online Gambling, We will automatically upgrade your status from Subscriber to Player. Please note we are not affilliated in any way with ESPN, CBS Sports, Home depot or CitiBank GameDay Programs. https://sportsbook-live.com
https://sportsbook-live.com