In a light heavyweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Misha Cirkunov and Ryan Spann meet at UFC on ESPN+ 51 – also known as UFC Fight Night 187 or UFC Vegas 21 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The early prelims kick off at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, and then the main card on ESPN+ at 8 p.m. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN+ 51 odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
UFC on ESPN+ 51 Cirkunov vs. Spann: Odds, spread and lines
- Fight result (2-way line): Cirkunov -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Spann +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over +125 | Under -150)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +300 | No -375)
UFC on ESPN+ 51 Cirkunov vs. Spann: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Cirkunov 15-5 | Spann 18-6
SPANN (+105) is a nice value as a short ‘dog in this one. He is looking for redemption after walking into a KO/TKO in Round 1 against Johnny Walker last time out on the Covington-Woodley card Sept. 19, 2020. That snapped an eight-bout win streak dating back to LFA 27 Nov. 10, 2017. Since arriving at the UFC level he has recorded decision wins, a submission and a KO/TKO, so he has shown versatility.
Cirkunov (-125) is also versatile, posting 4.18 significant strikes landed per minute while he has a ridiculous 65.42 significant strikes accuracy percentage. He also has a nice 4.42 takedown average and 57.89 takedown accuracy percentage with 2.41 submission average. This is going to be a war, and is a good bet for the fight of the night.
All nine of Cirkunov’s fights since arriving at the UFC level have finished inside the distance, while Spann has finishes in three of his past four. It’s too expensive to take No (-375) on ‘will the fight go the distance?’, but you might want to take a chance on UNDER 1.5 ROUNDS (-150) as both of these fighters look to fire out of the chute and get the quick finish. There won’t be a lot of standing around and inactivity with these two.
SPANN BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (+170) on the 5-way line is also worth a look, as “Superman” can help you almost double up if he can get the early finish.
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