In a lightweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Gregor Gillespie and Brad Riddell meet at UFC on ESPN+ 52 – also known as UFC Fight Night 188 or UFC Vegas 22 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The early prelims kick off at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+, and then the main card on ESPN+ at 10 p.m. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN+ 52 odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
UFC on ESPN+ 52 Gillespie vs. Riddell: Odds, spread and lines
- Fight result (2-way line): Gillespie -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Riddell +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -110 | Under -110)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +115 | No -140)
UFC on ESPN+ 52 Gillespie vs. Riddell: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Gillespie 13-1 | Riddell 9-1
Gillespie (-250) is a heavy favorite to win, but betting two-and-a-half times your potential return is just not a good long-term strategy. He is coming off a first-round knockout loss against Kevin Lee at UFC 244 – his first professional loss. Each of his past six fights have finished inside the distance, with three KO/TKO wins and two via submission. As such, the better play is GILLESPIE BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (+135) at plus-money.
Riddell is 3-0 in his three fights since making his company debut at UFC 243. However, Jamie Mullarkey, Magomed Mustafaev and Alex Da Silva aren’t in the same league as Gillespie. He went the distance in those three previous fights, but there is little-to-no chance of that happening here.
As mentioned above, Riddell’s past three fights have gone the distance. However, Gillespie has had stoppages in six straight fights, and the best play is NO (-140) ON ‘WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE?’. For just 90 fewer seconds, you can go UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-110) for a much better value.
I also like GILLESPIE IN ROUND 1 (+350) and GILLESPIE IN ROUND 2 (+550). Yes, you will lose one of the ends with a Gillespie win in either of the first two rounds, but you’ll still be well in the black.
To watch the early prelims, sign up for ESPN+ now.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.