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Washington Wizards at Philadelphia 76ers Game 5 odds, picks and prediction


The 1-seed Philadelphia 76ers (3-1) host the 8-seed Washington Wizards (1-3) Wednesday for Game 5 of their Eastern Conference First Round playoff series at Wells Fargo Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Wizards-76ers odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Wizards seized the moment in their 122-114 Game 4 victory as Sixers big Joel Embiid was unable to play in the second half due to a knee injury and will not play in Game 5.

Embiid is punishing Washington this series, averaging 24 points per game on 75.1% true shooting (.635/.462/.889) and has by far the highest on-off net rating, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Wizards at 76ers: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:37 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Wizards +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | 76ers -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Wizards +6.5 (-110) | 76ers -6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 230.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Wizards at 76ers: Key injuries

Wizards

  • PF Dāvis Bertāns (calf) out

76ers

  • C Joel Embiid (knee) out
  • SG Seth Curry (ankle) probable
  • PG George Hill (knee) probable

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Wizards at 76ers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Wizards 121, 76ers 113

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the WIZARDS (+220) for a quarter unit if at all because the 76ers are in big trouble without Embiid.

Philly is 10-11 this season in games Embiid misses, and his absence eliminates the Sixers’ edge of getting easy buckets at the foul line.

For instance, the Wizards had a .375 FT/FGA rate in Game 4 compared to Philly’s .229 FT/FGA rate, due mostly to Embiid’s absence.

Also, Embiid’s replacement for Game 5 — whether it be PF Mike Scott or big Dwight Howard — brings different but equal concerns for the Sixers.

Scott started the second-half for Philly in Game 4, finishing the night 0-for-4, failing to score with a 46 offensive rating, and had a minus 9.3 points per 100 possessions on-off differential during the regular season (according to CleaningTheGlass.com).

Scott is only listed at 6-foot-8 and if he is Philly’s starting big, Russell Westbrook and Bradley Beal should get to the cup all night.

Furthermore, Philly using Howard to replace the bulk of Embiid’s minutes could be even worse.

Howard has a worse points per 100 possessions on-off differential than Scott during the regular season (grading in the 5th-percentile of bigs, according to CleaningTheGlass.com) and is one the easiest bigs in the Association to draw fouls against.

Lastly, Washington has played well this season vs. quality competition and has pulled off big road upsets over the Brooklyn Nets, Miami Heat, Utah Jazz, and Los Angeles Lakers.

Obviously, the playoff atmosphere makes this a slightly different circumstance, but Philly’s playoff resume isn’t anything to brag about.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Definitely BET the WIZARDS +6.5 (-110) heavier than or instead of Washington’s money line.

The Wizards have covered six of their past seven games as a road dog, are 10-4 ATS when being spotted 5-7 points and are 13-7 ATS on the road vs. teams with a winning record.

Over/Under (O/U)

BET the OVER 230.5 (-110) for 1 unit because Wizards-76ers this is the fastest-paced series in the postseason and the Over has cashed in three of the first four games.

Philly should speed up the tempo with Embiid off the floor since it’ll be harder to create easy bucks in the half-court and Washington’s offense is in a lot better shape without Embiid clogging the middle.

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